Just about a week and a half away from the 201 Breeder's Cup Championship and I for one am very excited. While much of the hype is swirling around American Pharoah's return to racing after he was upset by Keen Ice in the Travers. Although I am also looking forward to the Breeder's Cup Classic, my enthusiasm is credited mainly to the Sentient Jet Breeder's Cup Juvenile which should give horse racing fans a glimpse at possible contenders for next year's Kentucky Derby. The distance is 1 1/16 miles, which is just three sixteenth shorter than the distance of the Derby. Of course this formula has not always worked. Only one Breeder's Cup Juvenile winner has ever won the Derby. Street Sense in 2006/2007. American Pharoah could have been the second but was scratched last year shortly before the Breeder's Cup Juvenile. Sometimes, the Juvenile will produce numerous Kentucky Derby entrants. In the 2011 Juvenile, nine of the thirteen entrants raced in the n for the Roses. But, as I have said, it does not always work out that way. In 2012 and 2013, there was a combined three Derby starters. In 2014 there were three as well. It is an unpredictable race. The winners in the last three years did not even make the Derby starting gate. Shanghai Bobby, New Year's Day and Texas Red. What can we expect this year?
Nyquist will surely get some play as the Wynn Casino 2016 Kentucky Derby favorite at this point. Followed by rival Swipe and newcomer from New York, Greenpointcrusader. D. Wayne Lucas also is high on his colt Conquest Big E. Of course Brody's Cause, winner of the Breeder's Futurity will also be looked upon as a betting favorite. There are a lot of questions and very few answers. Are any of these horses for real? Will any of these horses reach the Kentucky Derby? Do any have a chance to win the Derby? Will Nyquist be able to go longer distances than he is bred for? (Isn't this fun?) In short days, we will have all the answers
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