Saturday, April 18, 2015

My Kentucky Derby Power Ranking Edition I

Top 20
1. American Pharoah-Much the best horse in the Arkansas Derby, winning by eight lengths, seemingly without trying puts him at the top of my list. 
2. Dortmund-Winning easily at the Santa Anita Derby and being undefeated puts him in the two slot.  Good connections and a great stride.
3. Carpe Diem-The winner of the Bluegrass Stakes now on dirt.  Pulled away.  Todd Pletcher, says he is training remarkably makes him a solid contender. 
4. Firing Line-If Dortmund is number two, this horse has to make the top five.  Losing by just a head in the Robert Lewis to Dortmund, as well as a record time and 15 length victory in the Sunland Derby makes him an undervalued horse. 
5. Materiality-The other half of Pletcher's one, two punch, Materiality is undefeated in all three races, including the Florida Derby. 
6. Mubtaahij-The winner of the UAE Derby, has good connections, and will not have trouble with the distance. 
7. International Star-Son of Kentucky Derby winner Fusaichi Pegasus.  Was very good at Fair Grounds in the spring. 
8. Frosted-Pulled away in the Wood Memorial, however that field was disappointing.  Questions remain. 
9. Far Right-Closed well to take second I the Arkansas Derby an won the Southwest in February,  With s many pace horses, he may climb the ladder in the final quarter of a mile. 
10. Upstart-Good horse out of Florida.  Close second in the Florida Derby, got a fever a few weeks ago, we will see if he is one hundred percent in two weeks. 
11. One Lucky Dane-Son of Lookin' at Lucky, the 2010 Kentucky Derby favorite and winner of the Preakness Stakes.  Came in second to Dortmund in the Santa Anita Derby. 
12. El Kabeir-Had a good spring winning the Gotham in March but was a disappointing third in the Wood Memorial. 
13. Danzig Moon-Came in second to Carpe Diem in the Bluegrass, closed adequately. 
14. Itsaknockout-Disappointing in the Florida Derby, only won the Fountain of Youth because Upstart was disqualified. 
15. Tencendur-Ran a great race in the Wood Memorial, exceeded expectations, we will have to see where he goes from there. 
16. Stanford-Ran second to International Star in the Louisiana Derby.  Made the pace and only lost by less than a length.  Good showing.
17. War Story-Came in third in that same Derby.  I still think he has yet to run his best race but he does not have the facts to back that up. 
18. Ocho Ocho Ocho-Good showing in the Delta Downs Jackpot, disappointing in the San Felipe finishing eights, came back finished third in the Bluegrass. 
19. Bolo-Rather worse showing in the Santa Anita Derby, just enough points to get to Churchill Downs.   
20. Mr. Z-Just one for twelve in his career, kept trying to get enough points, with a third in Arkansas, he got enough so now he's going to Louisville. 

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