Thursday, June 4, 2015

Triple Crown Chance XIV

American Pharoah is the morning line favorite for the 2015 Belmont Stakes.  The question for me is why?  Although American Pharoah is the best horse in this years crop, and has proven it every race since last September.  The issue this week is different.  The Belmont Stakes often is not won by the best horse in the field.  It is won by the best horse on tat day who has the stamina.  Horses, in this decade, have been bread more for speed than stamina, the favorite has not won the Belmont Stakes since 2005 when Afleet Alex won.  So not only should a horse not want to be the favorite, the question remains why is American Pharoah the favorite.  13 horses have arrive at the Belmont in the last 37 years, none of them have won.  The handicappers making the odds should not look at the Belmont as yet another race, they should not just take into account the mile and a half distance of the race, but they need to handicap this race as if this one race was the entire Triple Crown, which it basically is.  All thirteen horses who have arrived at Belmont with a chance to make history have been the favorite, its about time that should not be the case.  Although there is no horse to put ahead of American Pharoah, he should be less than even odds against the field.  That of course is my opinion.  I, however, as are most horse racing fans, will be predicting a American Pharoah victory, because I would rather lose with him then win against him.  Go Pharoah Go!

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